Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 38.179391 45.190402 52.908239 62.004849 72.402030 83.882943 97.486734
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 29.087924 38.687196 50.295244 65.232301 83.795730 105.950081 134.216495
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 23.704759 34.514811 48.559467 67.850819 93.324709 125.443247 168.575390
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 19.377873 30.540520 45.969694 68.364232 99.458680 140.454511 197.809515
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 15.488235 26.313299 42.168424 66.376525 101.547145 149.793868 219.760118
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.086681 23.786282 40.285752 66.617321 106.393665 162.826879 247.166454
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.359157 21.979030 39.146700 67.660792 112.254909 177.425359 277.410666
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.864210 18.420451 34.713103 63.001347 108.957151 178.307533 287.741905
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.931855 17.444081 34.353782 64.739145 115.557958 194.130909 320.761737
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.781977 15.847215 32.691188 64.064467 118.136021 203.841756 344.960958
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.467313 15.833177 33.832282 68.275734 128.983931 226.994191 390.935538
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.238280 13.704708 30.767172 64.671554 126.305428 228.343916 402.715737
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.734914 13.152913 30.852736 67.210156 135.107303 249.982377 449.925926
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.341238 12.793893 31.317660 70.604733 145.883611 275.893810 506.121558
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.940102 12.325629 31.477464 73.399293 155.769833 300.891869 562.191464
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.422512 11.436124 30.583441 73.947665 161.469688 318.960496 607.544231
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.811102 10.129787 28.531839 71.822035 161.819987 327.552766 637.077842
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.436954 9.388029 27.661540 72.079560 166.782111 344.619687 682.107982
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.159335 8.858445 27.214287 73.195442 173.510200 365.244977 734.379345
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.654211 7.437162 24.253297 68.211302 167.250819 361.253896 742.250319
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.498718 7.150848 24.223807 70.070611 175.466419 385.089596 801.837505
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.273377 6.535830 23.181993 69.348818 178.051216 398.176332 842.152047
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.237756 6.639395 24.202977 73.852978 192.411170 435.030186 928.489968